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FTMatchday 7

Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
VillarrealAthletic Bilbao
  1. Ilias Akhomachon46'
  2. 57'Unai Gómezon
  3. 67'Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon
  4. 68'Gorka Guruzetaon
  5. Georges Mikautadzeon72'
  6. Thomas Parteyon72'
  7. Manor Solomonon72'
  8. 74'Mikel Vesgaon
  9. 75'Iñaki Williamson
  10. Alberto Moleiro77'
  11. Tajon Buchananyellow card83'
  12. Daniel Parejoyellow card90'
  13. Nicolas Pépéon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

VillarrealAthletic Bilbao
  • 42%Possession58%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 14Shots16
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 6Corners5
  • 13Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 7Offsides0
  • 4Saves4
  • 373Passes506

Line-ups

Villarreal

  • 16Thomas Partey
  • 19Nicolas Pépé
  • 6Manor Solomon
  • 18Pape Gueye
  • 1Luiz Júnior
  • 11Ilias Akhomach
  • 12Renato Veiga
  • 23Sergi Cardona
  • 15Santiago Mouriño
  • 9Georges Mikautadze
  • 4Rafa Marín

Athletic Bilbao

  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 8Oihan Sancet
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 15Iñigo Lekue
  • 20Unai Gómez
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1450 – 1483

Recent form

VillarrealDLLWW
Athletic BilbaoWLLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal35+2366
2Athletic Bilbao35-1241

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Villarreal2026-04-12

Match preview

Villarreal host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 27 September 2025. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Villarreal have won 2 of their last 5 (DLLWW), while Athletic Bilbao have won 1 of 5 (WLLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Villarreal won 1, Athletic Bilbao won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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