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FTMatchday 10

Valencia vs Villarreal: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mestalla

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ValenciaVillarreal
  1. 15'Santiago Mouriñoyellow card
  2. 15'Pape Gueyeyellow card
  3. José Copeteyellow card43'
  4. 45'Gerard Morenopenalty
  5. Lucas Beltránon46'
  6. 57'Santi Comesaña
  7. Jose Luis Gayaon61'
  8. Javi Guerraon61'
  9. 68'Pape Gueyeon
  10. 68'Gerard Morenoon
  11. 69'Santi Comesañayellow card
  12. 79'Santi Comesañaon
  13. 79'Georges Mikautadzeon
  14. 83'Nicolas Pépéyellow card
  15. Pepeluon83'
  16. Thierry Correiaon83'
  17. 88'Alberto Moleiroon
  18. César Tárrega Requeniyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ValenciaVillarreal
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 15Shots12
  • 3Shots on target5
  • 7Corners5
  • 13Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides3
  • 3Saves3
  • 538Passes412

Line-ups

Valencia

  • 14Jose Luis Gaya
  • 11Luis Rioja
  • 7Arnaut Danjuma
  • 12Thierry Correia
  • 18Pepelu
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala
  • 16Diego López
  • 3José Copete
  • 8Javi Guerra
  • 15Lucas Beltrán
  • 5César Tárrega Requeni

Villarreal

  • 7Gerard Moreno
  • 8Juan Marcos Foyth
  • 19Nicolas Pépé
  • 18Pape Gueye
  • 14Santi Comesaña
  • 1Luiz Júnior
  • 12Renato Veiga
  • 23Sergi Cardona
  • 20Alberto Moleiro
  • 15Santiago Mouriño
  • 9Georges Mikautadze

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1450

Recent form

ValenciaWDLLD
VillarrealWDLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal35+2366
2Valencia35-1043

Head to head

  • Valencia 1–2 Villarreal2026-10-24
  • Villarreal 2–1 Valencia2026-02-22

Match preview

Valencia host Villarreal in the La Liga on 25 October 2025. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Villarreal are 3rd on 66. Valencia have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLLD), while Villarreal have won 1 of 5 (WDLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Valencia won 0, Villarreal won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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