Valencia vs Villarreal: Prediction
📍 Estadio de Mestalla
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 15'Santiago Mouriñoyellow card
- 15'Pape Gueyeyellow card
- José Copeteyellow card43'
- 45'⚽Gerard Morenopenalty
- ⇄Lucas Beltránon46'
- 57'⚽Santi Comesaña
- ⇄Jose Luis Gayaon61'
- ⇄Javi Guerraon61'
- 68'⇄Pape Gueyeon
- 68'⇄Gerard Morenoon
- 69'Santi Comesañayellow card
- 79'⇄Santi Comesañaon
- 79'⇄Georges Mikautadzeon
- 83'Nicolas Pépéyellow card
- ⇄Pepeluon83'
- ⇄Thierry Correiaon83'
- 88'⇄Alberto Moleiroon
- César Tárrega Requeniyellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 57%Possession43%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 15Shots12
- 3Shots on target5
- 7Corners5
- 13Fouls14
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides3
- 3Saves3
- 538Passes412
Line-ups
Valencia
- 14Jose Luis Gaya
- 11Luis Rioja
- 7Arnaut Danjuma
- 12Thierry Correia
- 18Pepelu
- 25Julen Agirrezabala
- 16Diego López
- 3José Copete
- 8Javi Guerra
- 15Lucas Beltrán
- 5César Tárrega Requeni
Villarreal
- 7Gerard Moreno
- 8Juan Marcos Foyth
- 19Nicolas Pépé
- 18Pape Gueye
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 1Luiz Júnior
- 12Renato Veiga
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 20Alberto Moleiro
- 15Santiago Mouriño
- 9Georges Mikautadze
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +23 | 66 | |
| 2 | 35 | -10 | 43 |
Head to head
- Valencia 1–2 Villarreal2026-10-24
- Villarreal 2–1 Valencia2026-02-22
Match preview
Valencia host Villarreal in the La Liga on 25 October 2025. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Villarreal are 3rd on 66. Valencia have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLLD), while Villarreal have won 1 of 5 (WDLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Valencia won 0, Villarreal won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

