FTMatchday 7

Valencia vs Real Oviedo: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia1

Real Oviedo2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

ValenciaReal Oviedo

Arnaut Danjumaassist Luis Rioja4'
Hugo Duroon55'
Javi Guerraon55'
André Almeidaon55'
César Tárrega Requeniyellow card56'
61'Federico Viñasyellow card
65'Josip Brekaloon
70'Alberto Reinayellow card
71'Luka Ilićyellow card
Arnaut Danjumapenalty75'
76'Federico Viñason
76'Alberto Reinaon
Arnaut Danjumaon78'
85'Luka Ilić
86'Salomón Rondónassist Lucas Ahijado
Luis Riojaon86'
88'Haissem Hassanon
90'Luka Ilićyellow card
90'Luka Ilićred card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ValenciaReal Oviedo

57%Possession43%
2Expected goals (xG)1
16Shots10
5Shots on target4
5Corners4
14Fouls12
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
1Offsides4
2Saves4
539Passes415

Line-ups

Valencia

20Dimitri Foulquier
14Jose Luis Gaya
4Mouctar Diakhaby
11Luis Rioja
7Arnaut Danjuma
22Baptiste Santamaria
9Hugo Duro
25Julen Agirrezabala
10André Almeida
8Javi Guerra
5César Tárrega Requeni

Real Oviedo

20Leander Dendoncker
18Josip Brekalo
12Dani Calvo
11Santiago Colombatto
13Aarón Escandell
16David Carmo
10Haissem Hassan
24Lucas Ahijado
9Federico Viñas
5Alberto Reina
3Rahim Alhassane

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1427

Recent form

ValenciaDWLWD

Real OviedoLWLLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Valencia	35	-10	43
2	Real Oviedo	35	-30	28

Head to head

Real Oviedo 1–0 Valencia2026-03-14

Match preview

Valencia host Real Oviedo in the La Liga on 30 September 2025. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Real Oviedo are 20th on 28. Valencia have won 2 of their last 5 (DWLWD), while Real Oviedo have won 1 of 5 (LWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Valencia won 0, Real Oviedo won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.