FTMatchday 23

Valencia vs Real Madrid: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia0

Real Madrid2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

ValenciaReal Madrid

65'Álvaro Carrerasassist Dean Huijsen
69'Álvaro Carrerasyellow card
Unai Núñezon72'
Pepeluon72'
76'David Jiménezon
76'Gonzalo Garcíaon
Filip Ugrinicon81'
Luis Riojaon81'
Lucas Beltránon82'
82'Arda Güleron
José Copeteyellow card88'
90'Federico Valverdeon
90'Kylian Mbappéassist Brahim

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ValenciaReal Madrid

40%Possession60%
0.44Expected goals (xG)0.96
7Shots11
0Shots on target6
5Corners8
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides3
4Saves0
359Passes558

Line-ups

Valencia

1Stole Dimitrievski
14Jose Luis Gaya
4Unai Núñez
11Luis Rioja
7Arnaut Danjuma
23Filip Ugrinic
9Hugo Duro
24Eray Cömert
18Pepelu
3José Copete
15Lucas Beltrán

Real Madrid

1Thibaut Courtois
10Kylian Mbappé
8Federico Valverde
14Aurelien Tchouameni
6Eduardo Camavinga
15Arda Güler
18Álvaro Carreras
24Dean Huijsen
17Raúl Asencio
16Gonzalo García
35David Jiménez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1567

Recent form

ValenciaLDWWL

Real MadridWWWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	35	+40	82
2	Valencia	35	-10	43

Head to head

Real Madrid 4–0 Valencia2025-11-01

Match preview

Valencia host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 8 February 2026. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Valencia have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWWL), while Real Madrid have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Valencia won 0, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.