FTMatchday 36

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia1

Rayo Vallecano1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

ValenciaRayo Vallecano

Renzo Saraviayellow card6'
20'Florian Lejeuneassist Gerard Gumbau
Renzo Saraviaon32'
Diego Lópezassist Javi Guerra40'
56'Randy Ntekayellow card
60'Randy Ntekaon
60'Fran Pérezon
Hugo Duroon61'
Pepeluon61'
Javi Guerraon61'
61'Óscar Valentínon
Jose Luis Gayaon63'
67'Gerard Gumbauon
73'Iván Balliuon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ValenciaRayo Vallecano

53%Possession47%
0.69Expected goals (xG)1.21
12Shots6
3Shots on target3
5Corners1
9Fouls20
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides2
2Saves2
445Passes404

Line-ups

Valencia

1Stole Dimitrievski
14Jose Luis Gaya
11Luis Rioja
2Guido Rodríguez
9Hugo Duro
24Eray Cömert
18Pepelu
16Diego López
20Renzo Saravia
8Javi Guerra
5César Tárrega Requeni

Rayo Vallecano

24Florian Lejeune
15Gerard Gumbau
22Alfonso Espino
4Pedro Díaz
23Óscar Valentín
11Randy Nteka
3Pep Chavarría
20Iván Balliu
21Fran Pérez
13Augusto Batalla
32Nobel Mendy

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1502

Recent form

ValenciaLDWLW

Rayo VallecanoLWDWD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Vallecano	35	-2	48
2	Valencia	35	-10	43

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Valencia2025-12-01

Match preview

Valencia host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 14 May 2026. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Rayo Vallecano are 6th on 48. Valencia have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWLW), while Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of 5 (LWDWD). In their last 1 meetings, Valencia won 0, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.