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Kick-off · Matchday 14

Valencia vs Osasuna: Prediction

Valencia
49%Home win
Osasuna

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.57 – 1.08
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1431

Recent form

ValenciaWLDDL
OsasunaLDLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Osasuna9-118
2Valencia9-96

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Valencia host Osasuna in the La Liga on 29 November 2026. Valencia sit 19th on 6 points and Osasuna are 18th on 8. Valencia have won 1 of their last 5 (WLDDL), while Osasuna have won 1 of 5 (LDLWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Valencia 49%, the draw 25% and Osasuna 26%, so Valencia are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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