Valencia vs Elche: Prediction
📍 Estadio de Mestalla
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⇄Thierry Correiaon17'
- 60'⇄Pedro Bigason
- 60'⇄Yago Santiagoon
- 64'Álvaro Núñezyellow card
- ⇄Lucas Beltránon65'
- ⇄André Almeidaon65'
- 73'Víctor Chustyellow card
- 74'⇄Álvaro Núñezon
- 74'⇄Martim Carvalho Netoon
- 75'⚽Grady Dianganaassist Adrià Pedrosa
- ⇄Filip Ugrinicon77'
- ⇄Diego Lópezon77'
- 83'⇄Aleix Febason
- ⚽Pepelupenalty87'
- Largie Ramazaniyellow card90'
- Pepeluyellow card90'
- 90'Adrià Pedrosayellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 38%Possession62%
- 1.96Expected goals (xG)0.16
- 16Shots5
- 4Shots on target1
- 8Corners6
- 14Fouls14
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides5
- 0Saves3
- 306Passes508
Line-ups
Valencia
- 1Stole Dimitrievski
- 14Jose Luis Gaya
- 11Luis Rioja
- 12Thierry Correia
- 23Filip Ugrinic
- 18Pepelu
- 16Diego López
- 3José Copete
- 10André Almeida
- 15Lucas Beltrán
- 5César Tárrega Requeni
Elche
- 6Pedro Bigas
- 14Aleix Febas
- 23Víctor Chust
- 1Matías Dituro
- 21Léo Pétrot
- 11Germán Valera
- 8Marc Aguado
- 20Álvaro Rodríguez
- 16Martim Carvalho Neto
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 7Yago Santiago
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | -10 | 43 | |
| 2 | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
- Elche 0–1 Valencia2026-11-01
- Elche 1–0 Valencia2026-04-11
Match preview
Valencia host Elche in the La Liga on 10 January 2026. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Elche are 15th on 40. Valencia have won 0 of their last 5 (DDLDL), while Elche have won 2 of 5 (LWLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Valencia won 1, Elche won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

