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FTMatchday 19

Valencia vs Elche: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mestalla

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ValenciaElche
  1. Thierry Correiaon17'
  2. 60'Pedro Bigason
  3. 60'Yago Santiagoon
  4. 64'Álvaro Núñezyellow card
  5. Lucas Beltránon65'
  6. André Almeidaon65'
  7. 73'Víctor Chustyellow card
  8. 74'Álvaro Núñezon
  9. 74'Martim Carvalho Netoon
  10. 75'Grady Dianganaassist Adrià Pedrosa
  11. Filip Ugrinicon77'
  12. Diego Lópezon77'
  13. 83'Aleix Febason
  14. Pepelupenalty87'
  15. Largie Ramazaniyellow card90'
  16. Pepeluyellow card90'
  17. 90'Adrià Pedrosayellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ValenciaElche
  • 38%Possession62%
  • 1.96Expected goals (xG)0.16
  • 16Shots5
  • 4Shots on target1
  • 8Corners6
  • 14Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides5
  • 0Saves3
  • 306Passes508

Line-ups

Valencia

  • 1Stole Dimitrievski
  • 14Jose Luis Gaya
  • 11Luis Rioja
  • 12Thierry Correia
  • 23Filip Ugrinic
  • 18Pepelu
  • 16Diego López
  • 3José Copete
  • 10André Almeida
  • 15Lucas Beltrán
  • 5César Tárrega Requeni

Elche

  • 6Pedro Bigas
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 23Víctor Chust
  • 1Matías Dituro
  • 21Léo Pétrot
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 8Marc Aguado
  • 20Álvaro Rodríguez
  • 16Martim Carvalho Neto
  • 15Álvaro Núñez
  • 7Yago Santiago

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1468

Recent form

ValenciaDDLDL
ElcheLWLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Valencia35-1043
2Elche35-840

Head to head

  • Elche 0–1 Valencia2026-11-01
  • Elche 1–0 Valencia2026-04-11

Match preview

Valencia host Elche in the La Liga on 10 January 2026. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Elche are 15th on 40. Valencia have won 0 of their last 5 (DDLDL), while Elche have won 2 of 5 (LWLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Valencia won 1, Elche won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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