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FTMatchday 27

Valencia vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mestalla

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
ValenciaDeportivo Alavés
  1. 3'Lucas Boyépenalty
  2. Largie Ramazaniyellow card17'
  3. 30'Carlos Benavídezon
  4. 36'Jon Guridiyellow card
  5. 43'Youssef Enríquezyellow card
  6. Javi Guerraassist Umar Sadiq47'
  7. 58'Jon Pachecoyellow card
  8. 68'Jon Guridion
  9. 68'Carles Aleñáon
  10. Luis Riojaon70'
  11. 71'Lucas Boyéassist Denis Suárez
  12. Filip Ugrinicon74'
  13. Thierry Correiaon82'
  14. Largie Ramazanion82'
  15. Javi Guerraon82'
  16. 84'Toni Martínezon
  17. 90'Jon Pachecoyellow card
  18. 90'Ander Guevarayellow card
  19. 90'Jon Pachecored card
  20. 90'Ander Guevarared card
  21. Eray Cömert90'
  22. Hugo Duropenalty90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ValenciaDeportivo Alavés
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 2.79Expected goals (xG)1.33
  • 19Shots10
  • 8Shots on target4
  • 10Corners2
  • 9Fouls17
  • 1Yellow cards6
  • 0Red cards2
  • 4Offsides1
  • 3Saves5
  • 550Passes362

Line-ups

Valencia

  • 1Stole Dimitrievski
  • 14Jose Luis Gaya
  • 4Unai Núñez
  • 11Luis Rioja
  • 12Thierry Correia
  • 23Filip Ugrinic
  • 2Guido Rodríguez
  • 6Umar Sadiq
  • 24Eray Cömert
  • 17Largie Ramazani
  • 8Javi Guerra

Deportivo Alavés

  • 11Toni Martínez
  • 18Jon Guridi
  • 10Carles Aleñá
  • 1Antonio Sivera
  • 15Lucas Boyé
  • 17Jonathan Otto
  • 8Antonio Blanco
  • 5Jon Pacheco
  • 14Nahuel Tenaglia
  • 23Carlos Benavídez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1462

Recent form

ValenciaWLLWL
Deportivo AlavésWWLDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Deportivo Alavés35-843
2Valencia35-1043

Head to head

  • Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Valencia2026-09-15
  • Deportivo Alavés 0–0 Valencia2025-10-20

Match preview

Valencia host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 8 March 2026. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Deportivo Alavés are 9th on 43. Valencia have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLWL), while Deportivo Alavés have won 2 of 5 (WWLDD). In their last 2 meetings, Valencia won 1, Deportivo Alavés won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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