FTMatchday 30

Valencia vs Celta Vigo: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia2

Celta Vigo3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

ValenciaCelta Vigo

Guido Rodríguez12'
43'Javi Rodríguezyellow card
44'Marcos Alonsoyellow card
46'Javi Rodríguezon
46'Hugo Álvarezon
46'Pablo Duránon
56'Ilaix Moriba
60'Fer Lópezassist Williot Swedberg
Hugo Duroon63'
Unai Núñezon63'
André Almeidaon63'
Javi Guerraon63'
71'Hugo Soteloyellow card
71'Ferran Jutglàon
Jose Luis Gayaon78'
81'Williot Swedbergassist Ilaix Moriba
Guido Rodríguezyellow card84'
88'Óscar Minguezaon
Guido Rodríguezassist Umar Sadiq90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ValenciaCelta Vigo

42%Possession58%
0.81Expected goals (xG)1.04
13Shots9
4Shots on target5
6Corners0
14Fouls21
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
2Saves2
351Passes504

Line-ups

Valencia

1Stole Dimitrievski
14Jose Luis Gaya
4Unai Núñez
11Luis Rioja
2Guido Rodríguez
9Hugo Duro
24Eray Cömert
17Largie Ramazani
10André Almeida
8Javi Guerra
5César Tárrega Requeni

Celta Vigo

20Marcos Alonso
13Ionuț Radu
4Joseph Aidoo
5Sergio Carreira
3Óscar Mingueza
6Ilaix Moriba
9Ferran Jutglà
22Hugo Sotelo
23Hugo Álvarez
32Javi Rodríguez
18Pablo Durán

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1492

Recent form

ValenciaWLWLW

Celta VigoDWLDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Celta Vigo	35	+3	47
2	Valencia	35	-10	43

Head to head

Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo2026-08-22
Celta Vigo 4–1 Valencia2026-01-03

Match preview

Valencia host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on 5 April 2026. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Celta Vigo are 7th on 47. Valencia have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWLW), while Celta Vigo have won 1 of 5 (DWLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Valencia won 0, Celta Vigo won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.