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FTMatchday 4

Valencia vs Barcelona: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1525

Recent form

ValenciaDWWDL
BarcelonaLWLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona10+3227
2Valencia9-96

Head to head

  • Valencia 3–1 Barcelona2026-05-23
  • Barcelona 6–0 Valencia2025-09-14

Match preview

Valencia host Barcelona in the La Liga on 6 September 2026. Valencia sit 19th on 6 points and Barcelona are 1st on 27. Valencia have won 2 of their last 5 (DWWDL), while Barcelona have won 3 of 5 (LWLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Valencia won 1, Barcelona won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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