Valencia vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
📍 Estadio de Mestalla
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
0 goals- 29'Thiago Almadayellow card
- 52'Rodrigo Mendozayellow card
- ⇄Luis Riojaon59'
- ⇄Filip Ugrinicon59'
- 61'Obed Vargasyellow card
- 63'⇄Rayane Belaidon
- César Tárrega Requeniyellow card67'
- ⇄Largie Ramazanion73'
- ⇄Jose Luis Gayaon73'
- 73'⇄Thiago Almadaon
- 73'⇄Rodrigo Mendozaon
- ⇄Renzo Saraviaon82'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 53%Possession47%
- 1.11Expected goals (xG)1.78
- 12Shots20
- 0Shots on target5
- 1Corners7
- 9Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides4
- 3Saves0
- 470Passes424
Line-ups
Valencia
- 1Stole Dimitrievski
- 14Jose Luis Gaya
- 11Luis Rioja
- 23Filip Ugrinic
- 2Guido Rodríguez
- 6Umar Sadiq
- 18Pepelu
- 20Renzo Saravia
- 17Largie Ramazani
- 8Javi Guerra
- 5César Tárrega Requeni
Atlético Madrid
- 15Clément Lenglet
- 1Juan Musso
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 16Nahuel Molina
- 21Obed Vargas
- 11Thiago Almada
- 4Rodrigo Mendoza
- 29Rayane Belaid
- 34Julio Díaz
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ValenciaWLLDW
Atlético MadridLLLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 35 | +16 | 62 |
| 2 | Valencia | 35 | -10 | 43 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 2–1 Valencia2025-12-13
Match preview
Valencia host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 2 May 2026. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Valencia have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLDW), while Atlético Madrid have won 1 of 5 (LLLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Valencia won 0, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
