FTMatchday 5

Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia2

Athletic Bilbao0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

ValenciaAthletic Bilbao

20'Robert Navarroyellow card
Jose Luis Gayayellow card57'
61'Dani Vivianred card
Dani Rabaon64'
64'Álex Berengueron
68'Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon
68'Oihan Sanceton
69'Robert Navarroon
Luis Riojaon70'
Diego Lópezon71'
Jose Luis Gayaon71'
Baptiste Santamariaassist Javi Guerra73'
Arnaut Danjumaon80'
81'Mikel Jauregizaron
Hugo Duroassist Baptiste Santamaria90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ValenciaAthletic Bilbao

44%Possession56%
2Expected goals (xG)0
13Shots11
5Shots on target5
5Corners6
13Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
0Offsides1
6Saves3
378Passes486

Line-ups

Valencia

20Dimitri Foulquier
14Jose Luis Gaya
4Mouctar Diakhaby
11Luis Rioja
7Arnaut Danjuma
22Baptiste Santamaria
19Dani Raba
25Julen Agirrezabala
16Diego López
8Javi Guerra
5César Tárrega Requeni

Athletic Bilbao

9Iñaki Williams
17Yuri Berchiche
7Álex Berenguer
1Unai Simón
8Oihan Sancet
3Dani Vivian
16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
4Aitor Paredes
23Robert Navarro
12Jesús Areso
18Mikel Jauregizar

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1483

Recent form

ValenciaDWL

Athletic BilbaoWWLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Valencia	35	-10	43
2	Athletic Bilbao	35	-12	41

Head to head

Valencia 0–0 Athletic Bilbao2026-10-17
Athletic Bilbao 0–1 Valencia2026-05-10

Match preview

Valencia host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 20 September 2025. Valencia sit 10th on 43 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Valencia have won 1 of their last 3 (DWL), while Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of 4 (WWLL). In their last 2 meetings, Valencia won 1, Athletic Bilbao won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.