FTMatchday 25

Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen: Prediction

📍 Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin1

Werder Bremen4

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

Union BerlinWerder Bremen

16'Niklas Starkyellow card
Derrick Köhnpenalty18'
András Schäferred card19'
31'Olivier Demanassist Jens Stage
36'Keke Toppyellow card
36'Jens Stageassist Cameron Puertas
46'Keke Toppon
46'Niklas Starkon
Aljoscha Kemleinon63'
66'Marco Grüllassist Romano Schmid
Leopold Querfeldyellow card69'
Ilyas Ansahon71'
79'Julián Malatiniyellow card
Janik Habereron82'
Stanley Nsokion82'
82'Marco Grüllon
90'Romano Schmidon
90'Yukinari Sugawaraon
90'Patrice Čovićassist Leonardo Bittencourt

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Union BerlinWerder Bremen

25%Possession75%
1.16Expected goals (xG)1.96
9Shots15
2Shots on target5
1Corners3
5Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
1Offsides1
1Saves1
238Passes716

Line-ups

Union Berlin

8Rani Khedira
5Danilho Doekhi
34Stanley Nsoki
1Frederik Rønnow
19Janik Haberer
39Derrick Köhn
13András Schäfer
14Leopold Querfeld
6Aljoscha Kemlein
10Ilyas Ansah
23Andrej Ilić

Werder Bremen

4Niklas Stark
32Marco Friedl
3Yukinari Sugawara
20Romano Schmid
17Marco Grüll
6Jens Stage
18Cameron Puertas
14Senne Lynen
2Olivier Deman
30Mio Backhaus
9Keke Topp

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1489

Recent form

Union BerlinLLDLL

Werder BremenLDLLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Union Berlin	32	-15	35
2	Werder Bremen	32	-23	29

Head to head

Werder Bremen 1–0 Union Berlin2025-10-24

Match preview

Union Berlin host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 8 March 2026. Union Berlin sit 13th on 35 points and Werder Bremen are 16th on 29. Union Berlin have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDLL), while Werder Bremen have won 1 of 5 (LDLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Union Berlin won 0, Werder Bremen won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.