Kick-off · Sat, 21 Nov, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 10
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: Prediction
Union Berlin43%Away win
RB Leipzig33% Home win24% Draw43% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.44 – 1.67
Team rating (Elo)1457 – 1482
Recent form
Union BerlinLLWDDRB LeipzigWWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 6 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Head to head
- RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin2026-04-24
- Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig2025-12-12
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
