Union Berlin vs Hamburg: Prediction
📍 Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⚽Andrej Ilićpenalty10'
- 38'Miro Muheimyellow card
- ⇄Janik Habereron59'
- ⇄Oliver Burkeon59'
- 71'Rayan Philippeyellow card
- 76'⇄Warmed Omarion
- 76'⇄Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon
- 76'⇄Rayan Philippeon
- Leopold Querfeldyellow card79'
- ⇄Derrick Köhnon80'
- 82'⇄Miro Muheimon
- ⇄Ilyas Ansahon89'
- Christopher Trimmelyellow card90'
- 90'Fábio Vieirared card
- 90'⇄Giorgi Gocholeishvilion
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 34%Possession66%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 11Shots16
- 2Shots on target6
- 5Corners3
- 18Fouls17
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 1Offsides3
- 6Saves2
- 266Passes537
Line-ups
Union Berlin
- 7Oliver Burke
- 8Rani Khedira
- 4Diogo Leite
- 5Danilho Doekhi
- 1Frederik Rønnow
- 19Janik Haberer
- 28Christopher Trimmel
- 39Derrick Köhn
- 14Leopold Querfeld
- 10Ilyas Ansah
- 23Andrej Ilić
Hamburg
- 7Jean-Luc Dompe
- 14Rayan Philippe
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 20Fábio Vieira
- 17Warmed Omari
- 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 28Miro Muheim
- 8Daniel Elfadli
- 16Giorgi Gocholeishvili
- 21Nicolai Remberg
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Union BerlinWLLW
HamburgDLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburg | 32 | -14 | 36 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 32 | -15 | 35 |
Head to head
- Hamburg 3–2 Union Berlin2026-02-14
Match preview
Union Berlin host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 28 September 2025. Union Berlin sit 13th on 35 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. Union Berlin have won 2 of their last 4 (WLLW), while Hamburg have won 1 of 4 (DLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Union Berlin won 0, Hamburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
