FTMatchday 9

Union Berlin vs Freiburg: Prediction

📍 Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin0

Freiburg0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals

Union BerlinFreiburg

1'Junior Adamuyellow card
Rani Khedirayellow card28'
39'Junior Adamuon
Janik Habereryellow card45'
Janik Habereron61'
Tim Skarkeon61'
74'Jan-Niklas Besteon
74'Vincenzo Grifoon
Andrej Ilićyellow card76'
Derrick Köhnon80'
Aljoscha Kemleinon80'
Christopher Trimmelyellow card82'
Tom Rotheyellow card84'
Andrej Ilićon86'
Alex Krályellow card88'
89'Lucas Höleron

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Union BerlinFreiburg

37%Possession63%
1Expected goals (xG)1
11Shots13
2Shots on target4
5Corners5
20Fouls13
6Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Offsides1
4Saves2
249Passes435

Line-ups

Union Berlin

8Rani Khedira
4Diogo Leite
5Danilho Doekhi
1Frederik Rønnow
19Janik Haberer
39Derrick Köhn
21Tim Skarke
13András Schäfer
14Leopold Querfeld
6Aljoscha Kemlein
23Andrej Ilić

Freiburg

28Matthias Ginter
8Maximilian Eggestein
9Lucas Höler
32Vincenzo Grifo
19Jan-Niklas Beste
20Junior Adamu
1Noah Atubolu
33Jordy Makengo Basambundu
29Philipp Treu
37Maximilian Rosenfelder
44Johan Manzambi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1518

Recent form

Union BerlinWDLWL

FreiburgWDDDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Freiburg	32	-8	41
2	Union Berlin	32	-15	35

Head to head

Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin2026-03-15

Match preview

Union Berlin host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 1 November 2025. Union Berlin sit 13th on 35 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Union Berlin have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLWL), while Freiburg have won 1 of 5 (WDDDL). In their last 1 meetings, Union Berlin won 1, Freiburg won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.