Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction
📍 Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 10'⚽Emre Canpenalty
- 53'⚽Nico Schlotterbeckassist Julian Ryerson
- 59'Emre Canyellow card
- ⇄Josip Juranovićon66'
- ⇄Ilyas Ansahon66'
- 69'⇄Emre Canon
- ⇄Aljoscha Kemleinon76'
- ⇄Diogo Leiteon76'
- 79'⇄Fábio Silvaon
- 84'⚽Maximilian Beierassist Jobe Bellingham
- ⇄Janik Habereron86'
- 90'⇄Julian Ryersonon
- 90'⇄Felix Nmechaon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 56%Possession44%
- 1.24Expected goals (xG)1.89
- 10Shots15
- 3Shots on target5
- 7Corners2
- 10Fouls16
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides0
- 2Saves3
- 377Passes300
Line-ups
Union Berlin
- 8Rani Khedira
- 4Diogo Leite
- 5Danilho Doekhi
- 1Frederik Rønnow
- 19Janik Haberer
- 11Jeong Woo-yeong
- 18Josip Juranović
- 14Leopold Querfeld
- 6Aljoscha Kemlein
- 10Ilyas Ansah
- 23Andrej Ilić
Borussia Dortmund
- 23Emre Can
- 9Sehrou Guirassy
- 4Nico Schlotterbeck
- 26Julian Ryerson
- 21Fábio Silva
- 1Gregor Kobel
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 8Felix Nmecha
- 24Daniel Svensson
- 14Maximilian Beier
- 7Jobe Bellingham
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Union BerlinWWDDD
Borussia DortmundDWDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 32 | +36 | 71 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 32 | -15 | 35 |
Head to head
- Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund2026-10-17
- Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Union Berlin2025-08-31
Match preview
Union Berlin host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 24 January 2026. Union Berlin sit 13th on 35 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. Union Berlin have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDDD), while Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of 5 (DWDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Union Berlin won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
