Union Berlin vs Augsburg: Prediction
📍 Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Union BerlinLWDDD
AugsburgLDLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 7 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin2026-10-24
- Union Berlin 4–0 Augsburg2026-05-16
- Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin2026-01-15
Why the model leans Union Berlin
- Augsburg rate higher on our strength scale (1487 vs 1455).
- Union Berlin are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Augsburg won 0 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Union Berlin 1, Augsburg 0, draws 2.
- Expected goals from the model: Union Berlin 1.7, Augsburg 1.5.
Match preview
Union Berlin host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 2 March 2027. Union Berlin sit 15th on 7 points and Augsburg are 12th on 8. Union Berlin have won 1 of their last 5 (LWDDD), while Augsburg have won 0 of 5 (LDLDL). In their last 3 meetings, Union Berlin won 1, Augsburg won 0 and 2 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Union Berlin 42%, the draw 24% and Augsburg 34%, so Union Berlin are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
