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Kick-off · Matchday 11

Troyes vs Le Havre: Prediction

Troyes
50%Home win
Le Havre

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.69 – 1.16
Team rating (Elo)1438 – 1415

Recent form

TroyesLLLLD
Le HavreLLLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Troyes8-115
2Le Havre9-112

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Troyes host Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on 20 November 2026. Troyes sit 17th on 5 points and Le Havre are 18th on 2. Troyes have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLD), while Le Havre have won 0 of 5 (LLLLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Troyes 50%, the draw 24% and Le Havre 26%, so Troyes are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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