Skip
EnglishEN ▾
Kick-off · Matchday 12

Toulouse vs Rennes: Prediction

Toulouse
46%Home win
Rennes

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.59 – 1.23
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1510

Recent form

ToulouseDWDWD
RennesLWLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Rennes9+116
2Toulouse8+110

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Toulouse host Rennes in the Ligue 1 on 29 November 2026. Toulouse sit 11th on 10 points and Rennes are 3rd on 16. Toulouse have won 2 of their last 5 (DWDWD), while Rennes have won 2 of 5 (LWLWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Toulouse 46%, the draw 25% and Rennes 29%, so Toulouse are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming