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FTMatchday 3

Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain: Prediction

📍 Stadium de Toulouse

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

9 goals
ToulouseParis Saint-Germain
  1. 7'João Nevesassist Ousmane Dembélé
  2. 9'Bradley Barcolaassist Fabián
  3. 14'João Neves
  4. 31'Ousmane Dembélépenalty
  5. Charlie Cresswell37'
  6. Cristian Cásseres Jr.penalty45'
  7. 46'Nuno Mendeson
  8. 46'Vitinhaon
  9. 51'Ousmane Dembélépenalty
  10. Mário Saueron63'
  11. Rasmus Nicolaisenon63'
  12. Djibril Sidibeon63'
  13. 63'Désiré Douéon
  14. Frank Magrion70'
  15. 70'Ousmane Dembéléon
  16. 75'Bradley Barcolaon
  17. 78'João Neves
  18. Dayann Methalieon79'
  19. Aron Dønnumyellow card82'
  20. Yann Gboho89'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ToulouseParis Saint-Germain
  • 24%Possession76%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)3
  • 14Shots13
  • 6Shots on target8
  • 5Corners7
  • 7Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 2Saves3
  • 268Passes860

Line-ups

Toulouse

  • 19Djibril Sidibe
  • 10Yann Gboho
  • 2Rasmus Nicolaisen
  • 23Cristian Cásseres Jr.
  • 3Mark McKenzie
  • 4Charlie Cresswell
  • 15Aron Dønnum
  • 1Guillaume Restes
  • 9Frank Magri
  • 77Mário Sauer
  • 24Dayann Methalie

Paris Saint-Germain

  • 10Ousmane Dembélé
  • 2Achraf Hakimi
  • 8Fabián
  • 6Ilya Zabarnyi
  • 17Vitinha
  • 25Nuno Mendes
  • 29Bradley Barcola
  • 14Désiré Doué
  • 30Lucas Chevalier
  • 87João Neves
  • 4Lucas Beraldo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1495 – 1596

Recent form

ToulouseWW
Paris Saint-GermainWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain9+1120
2Toulouse9+213

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Toulouse host Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 on 30 August 2025. Toulouse sit 9th on 13 points and Paris Saint-Germain are 1st on 20. Toulouse have won 2 of their last 2 (WW), while Paris Saint-Germain have won 2 of 2 (WW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming