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FTMatchday 6

Toulouse vs Nantes: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1487

Recent form

ToulouseWWLLL
NantesLLWLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Toulouse9+213
2Nantes9-39

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Toulouse host Nantes in the Ligue 1 on 27 September 2025. Toulouse sit 9th on 13 points and Nantes are 13th on 9. Toulouse have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLLL), while Nantes have won 1 of 5 (LLWLD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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