Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 8

Toulouse vs Metz: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ToulouseMetz
  1. Frank Magriassist Emersonn Correia da Silva2'
  2. Aron Dønnumpenalty8'
  3. 34'Giorgi Abuashviliyellow card
  4. Frank Magriyellow card37'
  5. 45'Sadibou Sanéred card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1442

Recent form

ToulouseLLLDW
MetzLDLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Toulouse9+213
2Metz9-202

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Toulouse host Metz in the Ligue 1 on 19 October 2025. Toulouse sit 9th on 13 points and Metz are 18th on 2. Toulouse have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLDW), while Metz have won 0 of 5 (LDLDL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming