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FTMatchday 1

Toulouse vs Lyon: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1507

Recent form

ToulouseLDWWL
LyonLLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Lyon8+614
2Toulouse8+110

Head to head

  • Lyon 1–2 Toulouse2025-10-05

Match preview

Toulouse host Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 22 August 2026. Toulouse sit 11th on 10 points and Lyon are 5th on 14. Toulouse have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWWL), while Lyon have won 2 of 5 (LLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Toulouse won 1, Lyon won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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