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FTMatchday 3

Toulouse vs Lille: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
ToulouseLille
  1. Santiago Hidalgo Massayellow card20'
  2. 45'Osame Sahraouion
  3. 45'Calvin Verdonkon
  4. Santiago Hidalgo Massaon57'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1459

Recent form

ToulouseWWLLD
LilleDWWWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Lille9+618
2Toulouse8+110

Head to head

  • Lille 2–1 Toulouse2025-09-14

Match preview

Toulouse host Lille in the Ligue 1 on 3 September 2026. Toulouse sit 11th on 10 points and Lille are 2nd on 18. Toulouse have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLLD), while Lille have won 3 of 5 (DWWWD). In their last 1 meetings, Toulouse won 0, Lille won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming