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FTMatchday 5

Toulouse vs Le Havre: Prediction

Toulouse3
FT
Le Havre2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ToulouseLe Havre
  1. Christ Tapéyellow card34'
  2. Casper Tengstedtpenalty49'
  3. Casper Tengstedtassist Thomas Jørgensen51'
  4. Niko Siguryellow card58'
  5. 69'Rayan Fofanaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1415

Recent form

ToulouseLLDLD
Le HavreWLDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Toulouse8+110
2Le Havre9-112

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Toulouse host Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on 19 September 2026. Toulouse sit 11th on 10 points and Le Havre are 18th on 2. Toulouse have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDLD), while Le Havre have won 1 of 5 (WLDLD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming