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FTMatchday 2

Toulouse vs Brest: Prediction

📍 Stadium de Toulouse

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ToulouseBrest
  1. Frank Magri52'
  2. Mário Saueron60'
  3. 63'Brendan Chardonnetyellow card
  4. Frank Magri65'
  5. Djibril Sidibeon70'
  6. Yann Gbohoon71'
  7. 72'Brendan Chardonneton
  8. 72'Hugo Magnettion
  9. 72'Romain Del Castilloon
  10. 79'Kamory Doumbiaon
  11. Dayann Methalieon83'
  12. Frank Magrion83'
  13. 84'Mama Baldéon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ToulouseBrest
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 1.28Expected goals (xG)0.97
  • 6Shots16
  • 3Shots on target2
  • 3Corners9
  • 14Fouls10
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides2
  • 2Saves1
  • 387Passes417

Line-ups

Toulouse

  • 19Djibril Sidibe
  • 10Yann Gboho
  • 23Cristian Cásseres Jr.
  • 3Mark McKenzie
  • 4Charlie Cresswell
  • 15Aron Dønnum
  • 1Guillaume Restes
  • 9Frank Magri
  • 77Mário Sauer
  • 29Jaydee Canvot
  • 24Dayann Methalie

Brest

  • 77Kenny Lala
  • 10Romain Del Castillo
  • 1Radosław Majecki
  • 17Mama Baldé
  • 19Ludovic Ajorque
  • 5Brendan Chardonnet
  • 20Pierre Lees Melou
  • 8Hugo Magnetti
  • 2Bradley Locko
  • 23Kamory Doumbia
  • 26Julien Cardinal

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1495 – 1502

Recent form

ToulouseW
BrestD
#TeamPGDPts
1Toulouse9+213
2Brest9-39

Head to head

  • Brest 2–2 Toulouse2026-08-29

Match preview

Toulouse host Brest in the Ligue 1 on 24 August 2025. Toulouse sit 9th on 13 points and Brest are 12th on 9. Toulouse have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Brest have won 0 of 1 (D). In their last 1 meetings, Toulouse won 0, Brest won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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