Kick-off · Sat, 16 Jan, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 21
Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United: Prediction
Tottenham Hotspur39%Home win
Leeds United39% Home win25% Draw36% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.43 – 1.37
Team rating (Elo)1463 – 1513
Recent form
Tottenham HotspurDLDWWLeeds UnitedWDLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | -2 | 9 |
Head to head
- Tottenham Hotspur 1–1 Leeds United2026-05-11
- Leeds United 1–2 Tottenham Hotspur2025-10-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
