Kick-off · Sat, 5 Dec, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 14
Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal: Prediction
Tottenham Hotspur55%Away win
Arsenal22% Home win23% Draw55% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.07 – 1.83
Team rating (Elo)1463 – 1644
Recent form
Tottenham HotspurDLDWWArsenalWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | -2 | 9 |
Head to head
- Tottenham Hotspur 1–4 Arsenal2026-02-22
- Arsenal 4–1 Tottenham Hotspur2025-11-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
