FTMatchday 27

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham Hotspur1

Arsenal4

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

Tottenham HotspurArsenal

27'Jurrien Timberyellow card
32'Eberechi Eze
Randal Kolo Muani34'
Archie Grayyellow card35'
47'Viktor Gyökeresassist Jurrien Timber
57'Jurrien Timberon
61'Eberechi Eze
Conor Gallagheron62'
Randal Kolo Muanion68'
76'Leandro Trossardon
77'Eberechi Ezeon
Joao Palhinhaon82'
Yves Bissoumayellow card86'
90'Bukayo Sakaon
90'Viktor Gyökeresassist Martin Ødegaard

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Tottenham HotspurArsenal

39%Possession61%
0.74Expected goals (xG)1.93
6Shots20
5Shots on target7
2Corners5
17Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Offsides0
2Saves4
309Passes472

Line-ups

Tottenham Hotspur

6Joao Palhinha
8Yves Bissouma
1Guglielmo Vicario
22Conor Gallagher
39Randal Kolo Muani
29Pape Matar Sarr
24Djed Spence
3Radu Drăgușin
7Xavi Simons
37Micky van de Ven
14Archie Gray

Arsenal

1David Raya
19Leandro Trossard
41Declan Rice
7Bukayo Saka
6Gabriel Magalhães
10Eberechi Eze
2William Saliba
12Jurrien Timber
36Martín Zubimendi
14Viktor Gyökeres
5Piero Hincapié

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1504 – 1532

Recent form

Tottenham HotspurLDDLL

ArsenalLWWDD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	+44	85
2	Tottenham Hotspur	38	-9	41

Head to head

Arsenal 4–1 Tottenham Hotspur2025-11-23

Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur host Arsenal in the Premier League on 22 February 2026. Tottenham Hotspur sit 17th on 41 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Tottenham Hotspur have won 0 of their last 5 (LDDLL), while Arsenal have won 2 of 5 (LWWDD). In their last 1 meetings, Tottenham Hotspur won 0, Arsenal won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.