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FTMatchday 1

The New Saints vs Sabah Baku: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1477 – 1531

Recent form

The New SaintsL
Sabah BakuW
#TeamPGDPts
1Sabah Baku9+618
2The New Saints2-30

Head to head

  • Sabah Baku 2–0 The New Saints2026-07-07

Match preview

The New Saints host Sabah Baku in the UEFA Champions League on 14 July 2026. The New Saints sit 75th on 0 points and Sabah Baku are 1st on 18. The New Saints have won 0 of their last 1 (L), while Sabah Baku have won 1 of 1 (W). In their last 1 meetings, The New Saints won 0, Sabah Baku won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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