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FTMatchday 3

Swansea City vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1492

Recent form

Swansea CityWD
Nottingham ForestWDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Swansea City4+17

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Swansea City host Nottingham Forest in the EFL Cup on 17 September 2025. Swansea City sit 5th on 7 points and Nottingham Forest are 64th on 0. Swansea City have won 1 of their last 2 (WD), while Nottingham Forest have won 1 of 4 (WDLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.