Kick-off · Sun, 29 Nov, 07:35 pm ISTMatchday 12
Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur: Prediction
Sunderland44%Home win
Tottenham Hotspur44% Home win25% Draw31% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.56 – 1.25
Team rating (Elo)1451 – 1463
Recent form
SunderlandLLLLDTottenham HotspurDLDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur2026-04-12
- Tottenham Hotspur 1–1 Sunderland2026-01-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
