Kick-off · Sat, 12 Dec, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 15
Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction
Sunderland44%Home win
Nottingham Forest44% Home win25% Draw31% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.56 – 1.26
Team rating (Elo)1451 – 1465
Recent form
SunderlandLLLLDNottingham ForestWLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest2026-04-24
- Nottingham Forest 0–1 Sunderland2025-09-27
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
