Kick-off · Sat, 1 May, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 34
Sunderland vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Sunderland41%Home win
Newcastle United41% Home win25% Draw34% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.48 – 1.33
Team rating (Elo)1451 – 1487
Recent form
SunderlandLLLLDNewcastle UnitedLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 1–2 Sunderland2026-03-22
- Sunderland 1–0 Newcastle United2025-12-14
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
