FTMatchday 16

Sunderland vs Newcastle United: Prediction

📍 Stadium of Light

Sunderland1

Newcastle United0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

SunderlandNewcastle United

Brian Brobbeyyellow card27'
Nordi Mukieleyellow card34'
42'Dan Burnon
Nick Woltemadeown goal46'
57'Sandro Tonaliyellow card
Reinildo Mandavayellow card58'
59'Anthony Gordonon
59'Anthony Elangaon
59'Sandro Tonalion
Bertrand Traoreon70'
Brian Brobbeyon70'
75'Nick Woltemadeon
Chemsdine Talbion83'
Enzo Le Féeyellow card86'
Wilson Isidoryellow card90'
90'Malick Thiawyellow card
90'Joe Willockyellow card
90'Bruno Guimarãesyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SunderlandNewcastle United

47%Possession53%
0Expected goals (xG)0
5Shots6
1Shots on target2
3Corners6
10Fouls10
5Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Offsides0
2Saves1
385Passes435

Line-ups

Sunderland

25Bertrand Traore
34Granit Xhaka
20Nordi Mukiele
15Omar Alderete
9Brian Brobbey
17Reinildo Mandava
28Enzo Le Fée
5Daniel Ballard
27Noah Sadiki
22Robin Roefs
7Chemsdine Talbi

Newcastle United

33Dan Burn
32Aaron Ramsdale
8Sandro Tonali
27Nick Woltemade
10Anthony Gordon
39Bruno Guimarães
12Malick Thiaw
20Anthony Elanga
21Valentino Livramento
3Lewis Hall
67Lewis Miley

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1529

Recent form

SunderlandDLWDL

Newcastle UnitedWLWDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Sunderland	38	-6	54
2	Newcastle United	38	-2	49

Head to head

Newcastle United 1–2 Sunderland2026-03-22

Match preview

Sunderland host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 14 December 2025. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Sunderland have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWDL), while Newcastle United have won 3 of 5 (WLWDW). In their last 1 meetings, Sunderland won 1, Newcastle United won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.