Kick-off · Sun, 30 May, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 38
Sunderland vs Manchester City: Prediction
Sunderland57%Away win
Manchester City21% Home win22% Draw57% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.04 – 1.88
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1535
Recent form
SunderlandLLLLDManchester CityWLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland2026-09-20
- Sunderland 0–0 Manchester City2026-01-01
- Manchester City 3–0 Sunderland2025-12-06
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
