FTMatchday 26

Sunderland vs Liverpool: Prediction

📍 Stadium of Light

Sunderland0

Liverpool1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

SunderlandLiverpool

Reinildo Mandavayellow card24'
61'Virgil van Dijkassist Mohamed Salah
69'Wataru Endoon
75'Cody Gakpoon
Nilson Anguloon80'
Trai Humeon80'
Omar Aldereteon80'
88'Hugo Ekitikéon
Habib Diarraon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SunderlandLiverpool

43%Possession57%
0.63Expected goals (xG)2.53
11Shots23
2Shots on target3
3Corners11
8Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Offsides1
2Saves2
372Passes501

Line-ups

Sunderland

20Nordi Mukiele
15Omar Alderete
9Brian Brobbey
17Reinildo Mandava
28Enzo Le Fée
5Daniel Ballard
19Habib Diarra
32Trai Hume
10Nilson Angulo
27Noah Sadiki
22Robin Roefs

Liverpool

11Mohamed Salah
26Andrew Robertson
4Virgil van Dijk
1Alisson Becker
5Ibrahima Konate
18Cody Gakpo
10Alexis Mac Allister
38Ryan Gravenberch
7Florian Wirtz
3Wataru Endo
22Hugo Ekitiké

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1488

Recent form

SunderlandLWLWL

LiverpoolDDLWL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	38	+10	60
2	Sunderland	38	-6	54

Head to head

Liverpool 1–1 Sunderland2025-12-03

Match preview

Sunderland host Liverpool in the Premier League on 11 February 2026. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Liverpool are 5th on 60. Sunderland have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLWL), while Liverpool have won 1 of 5 (DDLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Liverpool won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.