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FTMatchday 18

Sunderland vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 Stadium of Light

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
SunderlandLeeds United
  1. Simon Adingraassist Granit Xhaka28'
  2. 31'Joe Rodonon
  3. 47'Dominic Calvert-Lewinassist Brenden Aaronson
  4. Trai Humeyellow card61'
  5. Christopher Riggon68'
  6. Brian Brobbeyon68'
  7. 73'Noah Okaforon
  8. Simon Adingraon85'
  9. 85'Dominic Calvert-Lewinon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SunderlandLeeds United
  • 43%Possession57%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 8Shots17
  • 3Shots on target6
  • 3Corners9
  • 7Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides3
  • 4Saves2
  • 393Passes513

Line-ups

Sunderland

  • 34Granit Xhaka
  • 20Nordi Mukiele
  • 6Lutsharel Geertruida
  • 15Omar Alderete
  • 9Brian Brobbey
  • 28Enzo Le Fée
  • 3Dennis Cirkin
  • 24Simon Adingra
  • 32Trai Hume
  • 11Christopher Rigg
  • 22Robin Roefs

Leeds United

  • 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 6Joe Rodon
  • 15Jaka Bijol
  • 4Ethan Ampadu
  • 19Noah Okafor
  • 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • 5Pascal Struijk
  • 2Jayden Bogle
  • 11Brenden Aaronson
  • 18Anton Stach
  • 1Lucas Estella Perri

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1502

Recent form

SunderlandWDLWD
Leeds UnitedLWDDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Sunderland38-654
2Leeds United38-747

Head to head

  • Sunderland 0–0 Leeds United2026-10-25
  • Leeds United 0–1 Sunderland2026-03-03

Match preview

Sunderland host Leeds United in the Premier League on 28 December 2025. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Sunderland have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLWD), while Leeds United have won 2 of 5 (LWDDW). In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 1, Leeds United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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