Sunderland vs Leeds United: Prediction
📍 Stadium of Light
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽Simon Adingraassist Granit Xhaka28'
- 31'⇄Joe Rodonon
- 47'⚽Dominic Calvert-Lewinassist Brenden Aaronson
- Trai Humeyellow card61'
- ⇄Christopher Riggon68'
- ⇄Brian Brobbeyon68'
- 73'⇄Noah Okaforon
- ⇄Simon Adingraon85'
- 85'⇄Dominic Calvert-Lewinon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 43%Possession57%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 8Shots17
- 3Shots on target6
- 3Corners9
- 7Fouls9
- 1Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides3
- 4Saves2
- 393Passes513
Line-ups
Sunderland
- 34Granit Xhaka
- 20Nordi Mukiele
- 6Lutsharel Geertruida
- 15Omar Alderete
- 9Brian Brobbey
- 28Enzo Le Fée
- 3Dennis Cirkin
- 24Simon Adingra
- 32Trai Hume
- 11Christopher Rigg
- 22Robin Roefs
Leeds United
- 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 6Joe Rodon
- 15Jaka Bijol
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 19Noah Okafor
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 18Anton Stach
- 1Lucas Estella Perri
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | -6 | 54 | |
| 2 | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Sunderland 0–0 Leeds United2026-10-25
- Leeds United 0–1 Sunderland2026-03-03
Match preview
Sunderland host Leeds United in the Premier League on 28 December 2025. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Sunderland have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLWD), while Leeds United have won 2 of 5 (LWDDW). In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 1, Leeds United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

