Kick-off · Sun, 8 Nov, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 10
Sunderland vs Chelsea: Prediction
Sunderland39%Home win
Chelsea39% Home win25% Draw36% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.43 – 1.37
Team rating (Elo)1451 – 1502
Recent form
SunderlandLLLLDChelseaDLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea2026-05-24
- Chelsea 1–2 Sunderland2025-10-25
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
