FTMatchday 24

Sunderland vs Burnley: Prediction

📍 Stadium of Light

Sunderland3

Burnley0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

SunderlandBurnley

Axel Tuanzebeown goal9'
Habib Diarra32'
45'Chimuanya Ugochukwuyellow card
46'Axel Tuanzebeon
63'Florentino Luíson
63'Lyle Fosteron
Trai Humeyellow card67'
67'Martin Dubravkayellow card
69'Marcus Edwardson
70'Jaidon Anthonyyellow card
Chemsdine Talbiassist Reinildo Mandava72'
Habib Diarraon80'
Chemsdine Talbion80'
Brian Brobbeyon80'
80'Jaidon Anthonyon
Omar Aldereteon86'
90'Kyle Walkeryellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SunderlandBurnley

44%Possession56%
1.47Expected goals (xG)0.06
14Shots5
5Shots on target0
1Corners2
12Fouls10
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
0Saves3
420Passes517

Line-ups

Sunderland

20Nordi Mukiele
15Omar Alderete
9Brian Brobbey
17Reinildo Mandava
28Enzo Le Fée
5Daniel Ballard
19Habib Diarra
32Trai Hume
27Noah Sadiki
22Robin Roefs
7Chemsdine Talbi

Burnley

2Kyle Walker
1Martin Dubravka
6Axel Tuanzebe
16Florentino Luís
11Jaidon Anthony
8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
10Marcus Edwards
9Lyle Foster
5Maxime Esteve
12Bashir Humphreys
23Lucas Pires

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1497

Recent form

SunderlandDDLWL

BurnleyLLDDD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Sunderland	38	-6	54
2	Burnley	38	-37	22

Head to head

Burnley 2–0 Sunderland2025-08-23

Match preview

Sunderland host Burnley in the Premier League on 2 February 2026. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Sunderland have won 1 of their last 5 (DDLWL), while Burnley have won 0 of 5 (LLDDD). In their last 1 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Burnley won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.