FTMatchday 30

Sunderland vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction

Sunderland0

Brighton and Hove Albion1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

SunderlandBrighton and Hove Albion

51'Diego Gómezyellow card
58'Yankuba Minteh
Daniel Ballardon64'
74'Yankuba Mintehyellow card
Granit Xhakayellow card76'
76'Yankuba Mintehon
Brian Brobbeyon78'
Chemsdine Talbion85'
88'Jack Hinshelwoodon
90'Diego Gómezon
90'Danny Welbeckon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SunderlandBrighton and Hove Albion

47%Possession53%
0.97Expected goals (xG)1.57
14Shots12
4Shots on target4
7Corners3
7Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Offsides1
3Saves3
407Passes466

Line-ups

Sunderland

34Granit Xhaka
6Lutsharel Geertruida
15Omar Alderete
9Brian Brobbey
5Daniel Ballard
19Habib Diarra
32Trai Hume
11Christopher Rigg
27Noah Sadiki
7Chemsdine Talbi
31Melker Ellborg

Brighton and Hove Albion

18Danny Welbeck
20James Milner
5Lewis Dunk
30Pascal Gross
1Bart Verbruggen
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
6Jan Paul van Hecke
27Mats Wieffer
13Jack Hinshelwood
11Yankuba Minteh
25Diego Gómez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1439 – 1578

Recent form

SunderlandLLLDW

Brighton and Hove AlbionLLWWL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Sunderland	38	-6	54
2	Brighton and Hove Albion	38	+6	53

Head to head

Sunderland 0–2 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-10-10
Brighton and Hove Albion 0–0 Sunderland2025-12-20

Match preview

Sunderland host Brighton and Hove Albion in the Premier League on 14 March 2026. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Brighton and Hove Albion are 8th on 53. Sunderland have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLDW), while Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.