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FTMatchday 3

Sunderland vs Brentford: Prediction

📍 Stadium of Light

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
SunderlandBrentford
  1. Reinildo Mandavayellow card57'
  2. Habib Diarrayellow card58'
  3. 61'Igor Thiagoyellow card
  4. Eliezer Mayendaon65'
  5. Chemsdine Talbion65'
  6. 71'Jordan Hendersonon
  7. 72'Keane Lewis-Potteron
  8. 77'Igor Thiagoassist Frank Onyeka
  9. 80'Rico Henryyellow card
  10. Enzo Le Féepenalty82'
  11. Habib Diarraon87'
  12. Granit Xhakayellow card90'
  13. 90'Kevin Schadeon
  14. Wilson Isidorassist Granit Xhaka90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SunderlandBrentford
  • 54%Possession46%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 12Shots8
  • 3Shots on target4
  • 3Corners4
  • 11Fouls12
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides3
  • 3Saves1
  • 405Passes338

Line-ups

Sunderland

  • 34Granit Xhaka
  • 20Nordi Mukiele
  • 15Omar Alderete
  • 17Reinildo Mandava
  • 28Enzo Le Fée
  • 19Habib Diarra
  • 32Trai Hume
  • 27Noah Sadiki
  • 12Eliezer Mayenda
  • 22Robin Roefs
  • 7Chemsdine Talbi

Brentford

  • 6Jordan Henderson
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 24Mikkel Damsgaard
  • 22Nathan Michael Collins
  • 23Keane Lewis-Potter
  • 7Kevin Schade
  • 19Dango Ouattara
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 18Yehor Yarmolyuk
  • 9Igor Thiago

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1541

Recent form

SunderlandWLD
BrentfordLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Sunderland38-654
2Brentford38+353

Head to head

  • Brentford 1–1 Sunderland2026-09-05
  • Brentford 3–0 Sunderland2026-01-07

Match preview

Sunderland host Brentford in the Premier League on 30 August 2025. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Brentford are 9th on 53. Sunderland have won 1 of their last 3 (WLD), while Brentford have won 2 of 3 (LWW). In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Brentford won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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