FTMatchday 13

Sunderland vs Bournemouth: Prediction

📍 Stadium of Light

Sunderland3

Bournemouth2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

SunderlandBournemouth

7'Amine Adli
15'Tyler Adams
Omar Aldereteyellow card21'
25'Alex Scottyellow card
Enzo Le Féepenalty30'
46'Alex Scotton
Bertrand Traoreassist Granit Xhaka46'
Wilson Isidoron63'
Chemsdine Talbion63'
Bertrand Traoreon63'
Trai Humeyellow card65'
Brian Brobbeyassist Enzo Le Fée69'
71'Amine Adlion
71'Tyler Adamson
80'Evanilsonon
80'Adam Smithon
86'Antoine Semenyoyellow card
Enzo Le Féeon86'
Romaine Mundleyellow card90'
Nordi Mukieleyellow card90'
Robin Roefsyellow card90'
90'Marcus Tavernieryellow card
90'David Brooksyellow card
90'Marcos Senesiyellow card
90'Lewis Cookred card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SunderlandBournemouth

43%Possession57%
1.28Expected goals (xG)1.70
12Shots18
6Shots on target6
6Corners3
14Fouls13
5Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
1Offsides2
4Saves3
334Passes463

Line-ups

Sunderland

25Bertrand Traore
34Granit Xhaka
20Nordi Mukiele
15Omar Alderete
17Reinildo Mandava
28Enzo Le Fée
5Daniel Ballard
18Wilson Isidor
27Noah Sadiki
22Robin Roefs
7Chemsdine Talbi

Bournemouth

15Adam Smith
24Antoine Semenyo
12Tyler Adams
5Marcos Senesi
9Evanilson
3Adrien Truffert
16Marcus Tavernier
18Bafodé Diakité
21Amine Adli
8Alex Scott
1Đorđe Petrović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1482

Recent form

SunderlandWWDDL

BournemouthDWLLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bournemouth	38	+4	57
2	Sunderland	38	-6	54

Head to head

Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland2026-10-18
Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland2026-02-28

Match preview

Sunderland host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 29 November 2025. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Bournemouth are 6th on 57. Sunderland have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDDL), while Bournemouth have won 1 of 5 (DWLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Bournemouth won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.