Kick-off · Sat, 6 Feb, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 24
Sunderland vs Aston Villa: Prediction
Sunderland39%Away win
Aston Villa36% Home win25% Draw39% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.36 – 1.44
Team rating (Elo)1451 – 1522
Recent form
SunderlandLLLLDAston VillaLWDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland2026-04-19
- Sunderland 1–1 Aston Villa2025-09-21
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
