FTMatchday 5

Sunderland vs Aston Villa: Prediction

📍 Stadium of Light

Sunderland1

Aston Villa1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

SunderlandAston Villa

Reinildo Mandavared card33'
Christopher Riggon37'
58'Emiliano Buendiaon
58'Lucas Digneon
63'Ian Maatsenyellow card
67'Matty Cashassist Boubacar Kamara
73'Evann Guessandon
Noah Sadikiyellow card74'
Wilson Isidorassist Granit Xhaka75'
Chemsdine Talbion80'
Wilson Isidoron80'
Enzo Le Féeon81'
82'Boubacar Kamaraon
82'Morgan Rogerson
Granit Xhakayellow card88'
Noah Sadikion90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SunderlandAston Villa

29%Possession71%
1Expected goals (xG)1
14Shots11
4Shots on target2
6Corners5
14Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
0Offsides3
1Saves3
215Passes539

Line-ups

Sunderland

34Granit Xhaka
20Nordi Mukiele
15Omar Alderete
17Reinildo Mandava
28Enzo Le Fée
32Trai Hume
11Christopher Rigg
18Wilson Isidor
27Noah Sadiki
22Robin Roefs
7Chemsdine Talbi

Aston Villa

23Emiliano Martinez
5Tyrone Mings
10Emiliano Buendia
12Lucas Digne
11Ollie Watkins
7John McGinn
2Matty Cash
4Ezri Konsa
44Boubacar Kamara
27Morgan Rogers
29Evann Guessand

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1526

Recent form

SunderlandWLDWD

Aston VillaDLLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Aston Villa	38	+7	65
2	Sunderland	38	-6	54

Head to head

Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland2026-04-19

Match preview

Sunderland host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 21 September 2025. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Sunderland have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDWD), while Aston Villa have won 0 of 4 (DLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.