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FTMatchday 11

Sunderland vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Stadium of Light

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
SunderlandArsenal
  1. 36'Martín Zubimendiyellow card
  2. Daniel Ballardassist Nordi Mukiele36'
  3. Granit Xhakayellow card45'
  4. 54'Bukayo Sakaassist Mikel Merino
  5. Wilson Isidoron63'
  6. Bertrand Traoreon64'
  7. Enzo Le Féeon64'
  8. Reinildo Mandavayellow card72'
  9. 74'Leandro Trossardassist Martín Zubimendi
  10. Lutsharel Geertruidaon87'
  11. 88'Eberechi Ezeon
  12. Brian Brobbey90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SunderlandArsenal
  • 35%Possession65%
  • 0Expected goals (xG)2
  • 6Shots17
  • 2Shots on target7
  • 2Corners2
  • 13Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 5Saves0
  • 284Passes525

Line-ups

Sunderland

  • 25Bertrand Traore
  • 34Granit Xhaka
  • 20Nordi Mukiele
  • 6Lutsharel Geertruida
  • 17Reinildo Mandava
  • 28Enzo Le Fée
  • 5Daniel Ballard
  • 32Trai Hume
  • 18Wilson Isidor
  • 27Noah Sadiki
  • 22Robin Roefs

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 19Leandro Trossard
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 23Mikel Merino
  • 7Bukayo Saka
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães
  • 10Eberechi Eze
  • 2William Saliba
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 33Riccardo Calafiori

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1532

Recent form

SunderlandWLWWD
ArsenalWWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Sunderland38-654

Head to head

  • Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal2026-09-12
  • Arsenal 3–0 Sunderland2026-02-07

Match preview

Sunderland host Arsenal in the Premier League on 8 November 2025. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Sunderland have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWWD), while Arsenal have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Arsenal won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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