FTMatchday 31

Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: Prediction

📍 MHP Arena

Stuttgart1

Werder Bremen1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

StuttgartWerder Bremen

18'Jens Stageassist Yukinari Sugawara
Dan-Axel Zagadouon46'
Tiago Tomáson57'
Lorenz Assignonon57'
Ermedin Demirovićassist Bilal El Khannous61'
65'Niklas Starkon
65'Jovan Miloševićon
78'Mio Backhausyellow card
Jamie Lewelingon78'
83'Jens Stageon
Chema Andréson89'
90'Romano Schmidon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

StuttgartWerder Bremen

68%Possession32%
1.78Expected goals (xG)1
20Shots9
4Shots on target3
14Corners2
8Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Offsides1
2Saves3
657Passes314

Line-ups

Stuttgart

23Dan-Axel Zagadou
33Alexander Nübel
7Maximilian Mittelstädt
18Jamie Leweling
6Angelo Stiller
8Tiago Tomás
22Lorenz Assignon
26Deniz Undav
11Bilal El Khannous
14Luca Jaquez
30Chema Andrés

Werder Bremen

4Niklas Stark
3Yukinari Sugawara
5Amos Pieper
20Romano Schmid
6Jens Stage
18Cameron Puertas
14Senne Lynen
2Olivier Deman
30Mio Backhaus
31Abdoul Coulibaly
19Jovan Milošević

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1489

Recent form

StuttgartWWLWL

Werder BremenLWLLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Stuttgart	32	+21	58
2	Werder Bremen	32	-23	29

Head to head

Werder Bremen 0–4 Stuttgart2025-12-14

Match preview

Stuttgart host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 26 April 2026. Stuttgart sit 4th on 58 points and Werder Bremen are 16th on 29. Stuttgart have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWL), while Werder Bremen have won 2 of 5 (LWLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Stuttgart won 1, Werder Bremen won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.