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FTMatchday 4

Stuttgart vs St Pauli: Prediction

📍 MHP Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
StuttgartSt Pauli
  1. Angelo Stillerpenalty25'
  2. 40'James Sandsyellow card
  3. Ermedin Demirovićassist Jamie Leweling43'
  4. Bilal El Khannousassist Ermedin Demirović50'
  5. 62'Andréas Hountondjion
  6. 62'Mathias Pereira-Lageon
  7. 67'Oladapo Afolayanyellow card
  8. Tiago Tomáson73'
  9. 74'Danel Sinanion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Line-ups

Stuttgart

  • 33Alexander Nübel
  • 9Ermedin Demirović
  • 7Maximilian Mittelstädt
  • 24Julian Chabot
  • 18Jamie Leweling
  • 6Angelo Stiller
  • 8Tiago Tomás
  • 22Lorenz Assignon
  • 11Bilal El Khannous
  • 29Finn Jeltsch
  • 30Chema Andrés

St Pauli

  • 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
  • 5Hauke Wahl
  • 25Adam Dźwigała
  • 8Eric Smith
  • 16Joel Fujita
  • 6James Sands
  • 22Nikola Vasilj
  • 10Danel Sinani
  • 2Manolis Saliakas
  • 27Andréas Hountondji
  • 23Louis Oppie

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1409

Recent form

StuttgartLWL
St PauliDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Stuttgart32+2158
2St Pauli32-3123

Head to head

  • St Pauli 2–1 Stuttgart2026-02-07

Match preview

Stuttgart host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 19 September 2025. Stuttgart sit 4th on 58 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 3 (LWL), while St Pauli have won 2 of 3 (DWW). In their last 1 meetings, Stuttgart won 0, St Pauli won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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