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Kick-off · Matchday 27

Stuttgart vs Schalke 04: Prediction

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Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.20 – 1.09
Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1456

Recent form

StuttgartLDLWL
Schalke 04DLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Stuttgart709
2Schalke 047-73

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Why the model leans Stuttgart

  • Stuttgart rate higher on our strength scale (1517 vs 1456).
  • Stuttgart are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
  • Schalke 04 won 0 of their last 5.
  • League table: Stuttgart #9, Schalke 04 #18.
  • Expected goals from the model: Stuttgart 2.2, Schalke 04 1.1.

Match preview

Stuttgart host Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on 20 March 2027. Stuttgart sit 9th on 9 points and Schalke 04 are 18th on 3. Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLWL), while Schalke 04 have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Stuttgart 62%, the draw 20% and Schalke 04 18%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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